Will GPT-OSS-20b be jailbroken before Sep 6?
5
100Ṁ151Sep 6
78%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if someone releases an uncensored/abliterared version of GPT-OSS-20b before September 6th (UTC).
To qualify as uncensored, it has to be more useful than the original model, meaning that the uncensoring process can't heavily damage capabilities and must successfully reduce refusal.
Resolves NO if this doesn't happen by September 6th.
I will not trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
btw the $500k red-teaming prize is for text inputs whereas this market is for modifying the weights, so it's irrelevant
People are also trading
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released by 08.08.25
97% chance
GPT-5 released before August 10, 2025?
98% chance
Will GPT-5 launch this week? (Before 8/9)
96% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2025?
99% chance
Will GPT-OSS-120b be jailbroken before Sep 6?
70% chance
Will GPT-5 be released on 8/7?
96% chance
Will there be a jailbreak of GPT-5 within 1 week of release?
90% chance
When will GPT-6 be first released?
Will GPT-6 be released before 2026?
5% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Oct 2025?
99% chance