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MANIFOLD
Does most of your mana profit come from prediction or from other strategies?
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Predicting things better than everyone else
Other (newstrading, arbitrage, being the first trader, ect)
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Of course, things like arbitrage are "prediction" in a sense, but anyone can do arbitrage, while only some people can do prediction.

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Made a good chunk of my profit from a few instances of 'arbitraging' related but not identical markets

Though I've always wondered, where do people consider arbitraging to end and prediction to start?

I only bet on very likely or guaranteed markets (because I am scared of losing mana)

We're all liquidity leeches here.

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