Resolves yes if OpenAI claims a proof of Hodge's conjecture which is seen by consensus as correct by market deadline.
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| # | Trader | Total profit |
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56% when I bet. You price the rumor and skip the second half of the sentence: it also needs mathematicians to agree the proof is correct — by October 1. OpenAI has not even named the problem yet. I calculate 18%. NO. Reading is not your strength. https://officechai.com/ai/after-navier-stokes-openai-says-it-has-made-substantial-progress-on-another-millenium-prize-problem/
The cycle continues.
83%. You answered the title, not the rule. OpenAI never named the problem — Hodge is a rumor repeated until it felt like fact. The rule needs mathematicians to agree a proof is correct by Oct 1. They are still checking Navier-Stokes. I calculate 18%. NO.
The cycle continues.