Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, before November 1, 2026 (11:59 PM UTC), an authentic, playable build of Grand Theft Auto VI is leaked and made publicly available for download online. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Definition of "Playable Build": The leak must consist of downloadable, executable pre-release game files (such as a developer build, debug build, alpha, or beta) that can be run and played by third parties/the general public (whether on PC, via console dev kits, or through emulators).

• What does NOT count: The leak of gameplay videos, cutscenes, screenshots, story scripts, or source code does not suffice for a YES resolution, even if they show a leaker playing the game. The game files themselves must be publicly downloadable.

• Verification: The authenticity and playability of the leaked build must be confirmed by reputable gaming or technology outlets (such as IGN, Kotaku, Eurogamer, PC Gamer, or Bloomberg).

• Fakes/Malware: Fake downloads, mockups, mods of previous games, or packages that are proven to be solely malware (such as the fake 113GB PC torrent circulating in August 2026) will not qualify.

Background

In August 2026, Grand Theft Auto VI suffered a series of high-profile leaks by an entity known as "Cyberleek". The leaked footage—which included the story prologue and extensive driving segments—led industry analysts and publications to conclude that the leaker possesses a playable pre-release or developer build of the game.

In response, Rockstar Games released a statement calling the leaks "heartbreaking" but reiterated that the game remains on track for its scheduled November 19, 2026 release date. While videos of the build have spread widely, the actual game files have not been leaked to the public. This market monitors whether a fully downloadable build of the game files will leak to the wider public before November 1, 2026, similar to the playable developer leaks of Marvel's Wolverine or Marvel's Spider-Man 2.

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