Resolves YES/NO if there is conclusive evidence and community consensus that twitter.com/AdrianDittmann IS/IS NOT Elon Musk.

Resolves N/A if the deadline is reached and the answer is still uncertain.

• Update 2025-06-01 (see here)

  • Starting from January 6th to the end of January, if this market stays below 5% or above 95% for more than 90% of the time (to account for any weird spikes) AND there is conclusive evidence in favor of YES/NO and no reasonable objections to it, the market will resolve YES/NO accordingly.

  • This process will repeat every calendar month until the question resolves or the deadline date is reached.

  • If there is clear signs of market manipulation I will veto it and resolve regardless.

  • I currently believe there is conclusive evidence in favor of resolving No. If you have good arguments against the current evidence (https://maia.crimew.gay/posts/adrian-dittmann/, https://thespectator.com/topic/real-adrian-dittmann-not-elon-musk-x-account-fiji/), please post it below before the end of January.

• Update 2025-07-01 (PST): - Margin Threshold: The market must stay below 5% or above 95% for more than 90% of the month to resolve as YES/NO respectively. (AI summary of creator comment)