Is Adrian Dittmann (@AdrianDittmann on X) Elon Musk?
Basic
48
24k
2026
30%
chance

Resolves YES/NO if there is conclusive evidence and community consensus that twitter.com/AdrianDittmann IS/IS NOT Elon Musk.

Resolves N/A if the deadline is reached and the answer is still uncertain.

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Elon's daughter, Vivian, has said that Adrian Dittman is Elon. Not definitive I suppose but some evidence for YES

Not sure this updates me towards YES, tbh

Yeah their relationship is quite bad faith both ways

bought Ṁ100 YES

Dittman was discussing the inner workings of SpaceX with Alex Jones the other day! If he's some rando on Twitter who 'just happens to sound like Elon Musk' how does he know so much about detailed discussions with the engineers 🤔

It's the John Barron thing all over again, a narcissist who really has gone full Emperors new clothes.

agreed. i don't think he's a rando. another possibility is Elon could now be hiring this guy to police twitter; to voice changer + speak and act like him + tend to “free speech” by talking to controversial x users (to either intimidate acting as Elon or hear them out) + help support all of Elon's endeavors.

Yeah, real “Adrian” could be a supergenius faking all that for clout but he seems to know a lot about x algorithm and other things only a friend, employee, or Elon himself could know.

he seems to know a lot about x algorithm and other things only a friend, employee, or Elon himself could know.

People keep repeating this but I'm not sure it's even true. I haven't thus far heard anything from him that wasn't public already and has been confirmed to be true after the fact.

bought Ṁ300 NO

Listening to a podcast thing on twitter; I would be very disappointed if this guy was in fact Elon Musk. https://x.com/AdrianDittmann/status/1813379617493033177 Never meet

your heroes I guess. Making a small bet to keep track

Y’all, he just put on a voice mod, it doesn’t even match Elon’s cadence or manner of speaking, you’re getting soooo swindled

I wanna sell my NO shares (261 of them), anyone want to put up a limit order?

I don't have a change of opinion but I don't exactly have my finger on the pulse of dittman news, so it's probably not too smart for me to be in this market.

opened a Ṁ333 NO at 33% order

ok

sold Ṁ175 NO
bought Ṁ150 YES

bought Ṁ55 NO

@jacksonpolack I saw that, it's just the wording of the message that struck me as really odd. "We appreciate you daily." If he's some random bloke, why is he writing he writing a birthday message like he knows her personally?

bought Ṁ200 NO

@houstonEuler at this point, making people think he's elon is like, his whole thing. My current take is, he's basically just going along with the joke and/or trying to feed conspiracy theorists like us ;)

at this point the theory it is not elon is weaker imo

bought Ṁ500 YES
The Office Wig GIF

bought Ṁ10 YES

dittmann somehow got the scoop on an upcoming twitter feature? https://twitter.com/AdrianDittmann/status/1765650682156118139

bought Ṁ10 YES