Will x.com (formerly Twitter) be forced to restrict access to EU users over DSA compliance by 2026?
Basic
1
Ṁ10
2026
55%
chance

Resolution Criteria

The market resolves as "Yes" if any of these occur:

  • EU requires X.com to disable key features for EU users

  • X.com must implement region-specific content restrictions

  • Platform is fined €50M+ for DSA non-compliance

  • X.com voluntarily restricts EU access due to regulatory pressure

Context

The EU's Digital Services Act requires platforms to monitor content, protect user data, and maintain transparency. X.com has faced challenges meeting these requirements.

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Australia has introduced a new bill that will impose fines of up to 5% on Elon Musk's Twitter/X global revenue.


https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09-11/acma-crackdown-social-media-disinformation-bill/104339144

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