Will there be an attempt to assassinate either Vance or Walz before the next inauguration?
21
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8%
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The attempt must be serious, which may be a subjective call but is likely to be straightforward. Headlines calling something an assassination attempt will qualify, for example. Simply carrying a gun at a rally will not qualify, but setting up to use it will. For example, both the Crooks and Routh incidents would qualify.
It does not matter if Vance or Walz are candidates, former candidates, or elected at the time, or for what office.
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