We all see them. The same five names at the top of every leaderboard, hoarding Mana and sucking the fun out of every market with their "models" and "logic."
This market is for the rest of us.
The Resolution Rule:
I will look at the highest-ranked trader (by total profit or site rank) currently betting in this market. Whatever side they are on, I will resolve to the opposite.
If the #1 whale bets YES, this is a NO.
If the #1 whale bets NO, this is a YES.
If they try to hedge by betting both sides, I will resolve based on whichever side they have more Mana on.
Why?
Because watching a high-rank player lose a massive bet to a "random" market is more satisfying than any accurate forecast. This is a game of chicken. If the whales stay out, the market is a toss-up. If they jump in, they’ve already lost.
Note to Whales:
Go ahead, try to "correct" the price. You’re just paying for everyone else's win.