India starts war with Pakistan?
19
100Ṁ451
May 4
36%
chance
9

do not bet on it

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Do you mean to resolve this market on May 4th?

Can I suggest some edits to your market?
Title: India starts war with Pakistan by EOY 2025?
Description:
Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before Jan 1, 2026, there is credible evidence from reputable news sources that India has initiated military action against Pakistan. "Military action" is defined as any offensive operation involving the Indian Armed Forces crossing into Pakistani territory or engaging Pakistani forces, excluding routine border skirmishes or defensive actions. If no such evidence is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

bought Ṁ10 NO

do not bet on it

Wait, why not?

@TheAllMemeingEye bro i am trying to figure it out how its woks

@Testuser Cool, let me know if there's an aspect you're struggling to understand

@TheAllMemeingEye i am getting confused about if i do second bet is my first bet shares is autosell ! help me

sold Ṁ10 NO

@Testuser Good question, my intuitive expectation is that an equivalent amount of shares does automatically sell, but it might make sense to ask a Manifold staff member who is open to user enquires e.g. Genzy

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