When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US first be used by Trump?
3
1kṀ51
2026
18%
Before July 2027
19%
Jul-Dec 2027
19%
Jan-June 2027
19%
July-Dec 2028
25%
Never or 2029 and After

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES when the Air Force has completed upgrades to the Qatari Boeing 747-8 and Trump uses it as Air Force One. Resolution requires documented evidence of Trump boarding and flying on the aircraft in an official presidential capacity. The market resolves NO if Trump's presidency ends before the plane is operational, or if the plane is permanently decommissioned or transferred without being used by Trump.

Background

The Trump administration accepted a $400 million luxury Boeing 747 from Qatar, described as a "flying palace". Two new Boeing 747-8 planes are being customized to become the next generation of Air Force One under a $3.9 billion deal announced during Trump's first term, but the project has been marred by setbacks and the aircraft aren't expected for several more years. The Qatari jet is currently standing by at San Antonio, Texas airport, awaiting a specialized overhaul.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-administration-poised-accept-palace-sky-gift-trump/story?id=121680511

Considerations

Experts say the plane would take years to rework to meet current standards for Air Force One. Several experts estimate the retrofitting could cost up to a billion dollars. There is concern that Trump might roll back security requirements to accelerate the timeline, and the plane could potentially have listening devices or malware since it has been in a foreign country for over a decade.

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@HillaryClinton This is missing "Jan-June 2028"

@HillaryClinton Or was "Jan-June 2027" supposed to be "Jan-June 2028"? Since there's also "Before July 2027"

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