Will the May 1, 2026 No Kings general strike be estimated at over 8 million U.S. participants?
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Ṁ100Ṁ71May 4
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Resolution criteria:
YES if published coverage estimates total U.S. participation in May 1, 2026 No Kings general strike actions at strictly more than 8,000,000 participants.
NO otherwise.
Source hierarchy (in order):
AP, Reuters, or NYT numeric estimate by May 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET
If none of the above publish a numeric estimate, use median of Washington Post, CNN, NBC News numeric estimates (if available)
If no qualifying numeric estimate is available by deadline, resolve NO
Notes:
Count only U.S. participation estimates tied to May 1, 2026 No Kings general strike actions.
If multiple estimates from the same source, use the latest estimate before deadline.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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