In the next UK election (2024/25) will the turnout be at least 68.0%?
20
57
390
Dec 31
44%
chance

Yes if turnout is greater than or equal to 68.0%

No if less than 68.0%.

I will not vote in this market

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@Noit Honestly this is way too high, only one election after 1997 hit this benchmark and the base rate since Thatcher is only 50%. Given the next election is likely to see lots of CON voters stay home I don’t see how anyone is expecting peak turnout.

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