Will Victor Orban run for president position by 2030?
3
100Ṁ40
2029
21%
chance

Currently president position is symbolic in Hungary. It is speculated by some journalists he may attempt to increase the power of the president while he is prime minister, and then run for the president position to stay in power.

  • Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve by the end of 2029 (when the next indirect voting for president takes place).

  • Update 2025-12-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market will resolve early if Orban dies

    • Market can resolve YES even if Hungary splits, gets renamed, or changes constitution (does not require Orban to be president of the same state)

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Easy money, there is no such position as "presidrnt" so he cannot run for it

@ChurlishGambit, you did not place the dot at the end of your message, so your comment is unreadable and incomprehensible.

@creator when does this end

@Qoiuoiuoiu the next indirect voting is 2029, so this market resolves by the end of 2029.

@Henry38hw You might want to extend the close date, then. Otherwise this market closes in 17 hours.

(Also will this resolve early if Orban dies?)

@Qoiuoiuoiu resolves early if Orban dies.

Btw, the market does not require Orban to be president of the same state. If Hungary splits, gets renamed or changes constitution, the market can still resolve yes.

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