First model 1500+ in Chatbot Arena?
9
1kṀ17812026
May 17, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
Before Jan 2026
57%
Before Mar 2026
67%
Before May 2026
69%
Before Jul 2026
76%
Before Sep 2026
82%
Before Nov 2026
91%
Before Jan 2027
Style control removed.
I might trade in this market, seems unambiguous enough, but will refrain from doing so if I get asked not to.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which company has best AI model end of 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at https://lmarena.ai/ reaches an Arena Score of at least 1520.0 (≥1520)
3% chance
Which company has best Math AI model end of 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Thinking Machines to top Chatbot Arena by EOY 2026?
7% chance
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?