Will SLS/Artemis 1 Launch before October 2022?
Space
17
4
แน€200
resolved Sep 30
Resolved
NO

Resolved as Yes is SLS is launched by start of october 2022. flight must get at least 1 meter off the ground. If the flight is aborted after launch or explodes after ascending 1 meter this is resolved as yes.

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predicted NO

Teeeechnically you shouldn't have resolved this yet. What if someone sneaks into the VAB, fuels the rocket and launches it into the VAB ceiling in the next 5 hours? :D

bought แน€112 of NO

NET Oct 2

https://blogs.nasa.gov/artemis/2022/09/25/nasa-closely-monitoring-weather-while-rollback-preparations-continue/

NASA managers will meet this evening to evaluate whether to roll back or remain at the launch pad to preserve an opportunity for a launch attempt on Oct. 2.

bought แน€200 of NO

https://blogs.nasa.gov/artemis/2022/09/24/artemis-i-managers-wave-off-sept-27-launch-preparing-for-rollback/

bought แน€20 of YES

https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-artemis-i-launch-by-the-end-of-8abe031a54fa

bought แน€50 of YES

@arae i searched for SLS! so missed the question :(

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