US President TV orgasm market > 7% for more than 72 hours before 2030 | Manifold

US President TV orgasm market > 7% for more than 72 hours before 2030

Basic

8

Ṁ1526

2030

16%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

So I'm the scumbag who created the funniest market on Manifold:

https://manifold.markets/mr22222222/president-of-usa-has-orgasm-on-live

President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035

4% chance. Any live video medium will be sufficient, it does not need to be TV. If deepfakes become common, then the video feed has to come from a reputable source.

Admit it, you can't stop laughing either.

If this market stays above 7% for 72 hours any time before 2030, this claim resolves as YES.

Derivatives: why not? Think of it as a credit default swap on your bet that US presidents will continue their 250+ year tradition of not having sex in public.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Derivative Markets

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bought Ṁ20 NO

Strong jobs report today makes Democrats, who are less insane, more likely to win 2024 election.

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