Will the probability of the question resolving as "Yes" exceed 50%?
Resolved
NO
May 20
M$8,428 bet
This market resolves to "YES" if, one week after it opens, the probability of this question resolving as "YES" exceeds 50%.
MilliOnaire

Milli Onaire 15 days ago

I find it more interesting the other way around (Resolves yes if the probability is below 50%). This way some whale can dump all his M$ just before close to cash out the whole market.
Undox

Undox 15 days ago

This old chestnut!
HaroldGodsoe

Harold Godsoe 15 days ago

@Undox A playful right of passage :)