Will the probability of the question resolving as "Yes" exceed 50%?
29
12
225
resolved May 20
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to "YES" if, one week after it opens, the probability of this question resolving as "YES" exceeds 50%.
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I find it more interesting the other way around (Resolves yes if the probability is below 50%). This way some whale can dump all his M$ just before close to cash out the whole market.
This old chestnut!
@Undox A playful right of passage :)