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MANIFOLD
How many seats will the PP (Partido Popular) in the elections of Andalucía?
1
Ṁ175Ṁ309
May 17
57.8 seats
expected
1%
<40
8%
40-50
22%
51-54
42%
55-59
24%
60-70
4%
>70

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the exact number of seats won by the Partido Popular (PP) in the Andalusian regional elections held on May 17, 2026. The number of seats will be determined based on the official results published by the Junta de Andalucía or the Parliament of Andalusia. The resolution will be confirmed via from the Andalusian Electoral Board or reputable media (El País, ABC, etc.). In the event of an official recount or legal challenge that alters the seat distribution after the initial announcement, the final, legally certified total will be used.

Background

The Parliament of Andalusia consists of 109 seats. Elections are conducted using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional representation across eight provincial constituencies. A party or coalition needs 55 seats to achieve an absolute majority. In the 2022 elections, the Partido Popular, led by Juanma Moreno, secured 58 seats, marking the first absolute majority for the party in the region's history.

This description was partially generated by AI.

Market context
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