Will Bluesky have 50 million users by September 2025? (~triple what it is mid-November)
121
1kṀ67kSep 1
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
According to this website: https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats ...
Bluesky has 15.6m users today (mid November 2024), compared with X's ~550m. To me it seems plausible they could dramatically increase that. The last 2 weeks have apparently seen 1m/week. If something like that continues, they should break 50 million. That starts to seem like a twitter competitor to me.
Tags: BlueSky, Blue Sky
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will Bluesky reach 100 million users?
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2025?
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
14% chance
Will Bluesky’s daily posters exceed 2 million in 2025?
14% chance
Will BlueSky have over 10 million users by the end of 2027?
96% chance
Will Bluesky’s daily posters exceed 1 million again in 2025?
27% chance
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2026?
61m
Who will be the most followed user on Bluesky / Bsky at the end of 2025?
If Manifold integrates Bluesky, how many active users will we have in 3 months?
20,016
Bluesky active users in December 2026
3.1m