Based on recent reports, India is fast-tracking trade negotiations with the US to conclude a bilateral trade agreement by November 2025. The talks aim to address the current 50% tariffs imposed on Indian goods and establish the framework for the "Mission 500" goal of reaching $500 billion in bilateral trade by 2030.

Resolution Criteria: This market resolves YES if a comprehensive bilateral trade agreement between the US and India is officially signed and announced by both governments before November 15, 2025. The agreement must address tariff reductions and be more than just preliminary terms of reference.

Sources: Bloomberg, USTR