This question closes as YES if Lauren Boebert wins the Repulican nomination for Colorado's 4th congressional district in 2024. Otherwise this question closes as NO.
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@SemioticRivalry I'm all out of mana unfortunately. But if you want some of that sweet, sweet GJOpen Brier score again: https://www.gjopen.com/questions/3200-in-what-place-will-rep-lauren-boebert-come-in-the-2024-republican-primary-for-colorado-s-4th-congressional-district/
I like to incentivise people filling my limit orders ;)
I haven’t really followed the race. Seems there is exactly one poll for the primary showing Boebert leading hugely? https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/house/2024/colorado/ Not sure why the GJ folks are so much lower but it's even recent forecasts by people who are usually pretty accurate
Boebert landed in fifth place with just over 10% of the vote
@FrederickNorris all politics has become national now. she’s got such high name ID that in a strong R county, it’s gonna be tough to compete with the dumbass they know.
@mattyb Her name recognition isn’t all positive. People aren’t going to vote for Lauren Boebert because she’s the name they know. She has to be well-liked in the district to be favored.
The 4th Congressional District includes most of the eastern half of the state, as well as Douglas County and Greeley. Aside from one-term Democratic Rep. Betsy Markey, who served from 2009 to 2011, the district hasn't seen a Democratic representative since 1973.
The incumbent has stepped down as well.
With a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of R+13, it is the most Republican district in Colorado.[4] No Democrat has received more than 40% of the vote as a U.S. House candidate in the district since 2010.