Will Lauren Boebert be the Republican nominee in CO-04?
39
360
650
2025
35%
chance

This question closes as YES if Lauren Boebert wins the Repulican nomination for Colorado's 4th congressional district in 2024. Otherwise this question closes as NO.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 NO

Does this question pertain to the special election or the November election?

@Parks Obviously the november election as it was made before Buck resigned

predicts NO

Y'all are betting this like she won't have a primary opponent. She will.

@FrederickNorris all politics has become national now. she’s got such high name ID that in a strong R county, it’s gonna be tough to compete with the dumbass they know.

predicts NO

@mattyb Her name recognition isn’t all positive. People aren’t going to vote for Lauren Boebert because she’s the name they know. She has to be well-liked in the district to be favored.

predicts NO

@GuyCohen I think this is a very mispriced market, but I guess we'll see!

bought Ṁ10 of YES

The 4th Congressional District includes most of the eastern half of the state, as well as Douglas County and Greeley. Aside from one-term Democratic Rep. Betsy Markey, who served from 2009 to 2011, the district hasn't seen a Democratic representative since 1973.

CBS News

The incumbent has stepped down as well.

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@mattyb

With a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of R+13, it is the most Republican district in Colorado.[4] No Democrat has received more than 40% of the vote as a U.S. House candidate in the district since 2010.

wiki

bought Ṁ20 of YES