MANIFOLD
Which of the following things will happen in the 2026 USA/Israel vs. Iran conflict by the end of 2026?
6
Ṁ350Ṁ516
Dec 31
87%
Israel and Iran go to war
80%
The U.S, and Iran go to war
76%
Ayatollah Khamenei is deposed
59%
At least 1,000 Israeli civilians are killed
50%
The strait of Hormuz is closed
50%
Crude oil prices top $100
50%
At least 10 American troops are killed
41%
At least 10,000 Iranian civilians are killed
28%
Benjamin Netanyahu is deposed
19%
There is a major domestic terrorist attack in the U.S. by Iranian-aligned terrorists
14%
Donald Trump is deposed
9%
A nuclear weapon is used offensively
9%
At least 100 American civilians are killed
6%
World War III starts

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy