When will the Los Angeles protest news cycle end?
16
175Ṁ483
resolved Jun 18
Resolved
YES
By June 20
Resolved
YES
By June 25
Resolved
YES
By June 30
Resolved
YES
By July 15
Resolved
YES
By July 31
Resolved
YES
By August 31
Resolved
NO
By June 15

The “end” of the Los Angeles protest news cycle is defined by when the protest is no longer the headline story on CNN and/or its daily “live update” section on CNN is discontinued.

  • Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified the market will be resolved based on a cutoff date of June 15:

    • Resolves NO if the news cycle ended on or before this date.

    • Resolves YES if the news cycle ended after this date.

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bought Ṁ5 YES

not sure about exactly when they removed it, but live updates section seems to be removed from the homepage.

@Anonculously Fine. I'll resolve June 15 as no and everything afterwards as yes.

bought Ṁ5 YES

A lot is happening in the world, and CNN has moved on for now. The broader protest story is not over, but perhaps the initial "news cycle" ended.

Some thoughts on criteria:

A plane tragedy is now "the headline story" on CNN. However, there is still a "Live Update" section available, so presumably this does not yet resolve? ("and/or" wording a bit fuzzy)

I have have an older market with that resolves from the print version of the LA Times on specific future days.

Slightly different criteria but similar intent (capturing how long major protests will last in some objective way)

I won't bet in my own market, but I will bet here. This market's 27% June 15 and 50% June 20 seems to overestimating how quickly this will resolve (the national guard and marines are unlikely to quickly turn around and disappear from Los Angelenos' lives, and there are larger protests scheduled over the weekend, which could continue).

Thanks for making this one.

@Anonculously I’ll say no, it doesn’t count.

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