When will the Los Angeles protest news cycle end?
13
175Ṁ265
Dec 31
87%
By August 31
72%
By July 31
66%
By July 15
64%
By June 30
51%
By June 25
33%
By June 20
14%
By June 15

The “end” of the Los Angeles protest news cycle is defined by when the protest is no longer the headline story on CNN and/or its daily “live update” section on CNN is discontinued.

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Some thoughts on criteria:

A plane tragedy is now "the headline story" on CNN. However, there is still a "Live Update" section available, so presumably this does not yet resolve? ("and/or" wording a bit fuzzy)

I have have an older market with that resolves from the print version of the LA Times on specific future days.

Slightly different criteria but similar intent (capturing how long major protests will last in some objective way)

I won't bet in my own market, but I will bet here. This market's 27% June 15 and 50% June 20 seems to overestimating how quickly this will resolve (the national guard and marines are unlikely to quickly turn around and disappear from Los Angelenos' lives, and there are larger protests scheduled over the weekend, which could continue).

Thanks for making this one.

@Anonculously I’ll say no, it doesn’t count.

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