Finland joins NATO in 2022

sold Ṁ9 of NO

sold Ṁ9 of YES

is predicting YES at 44%

Yev ✔️

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Arbitrage with https://manifold.markets/PedroMonteiro/will-filnland-join-nato-until-the-e

Gustavo Lacerda

is predicting NO at 70%

Applying to join is a separate question.

Stephen Malina

is predicting NO at 70%

Very confused by this. Would be helpful to have clarification on whether applying for membership counts!

Andrew Hartman

bought Ṁ20 of YES

I'm placing money on YES in the expectation that applying for membership will count.

N. N.

bought Ṁ50 of YES

Majority of Finns now favor NATO membership (https://www.ft.com/content/83deaf3e-6db9-43dd-a2dc-5e9493265c2d).

Gustavo Lacerda

bought Ṁ1 of NO

Thanks for catching that. I've fixed the date.

Rutger

sold Ṁ5 of NO

Unless I'm missing something, this market closes in six days, but 2022 has quite a few more months left in it after that. How will you handle this?

hagi

bought Ṁ10 of NO

nah, but I could imagine them starting the application process

bought Ṁ12 YES from 13% to 16%

filled limit order Ṁ19/Ṁ100 YES at 13% (cancelled)

yaboi69

sold Ṁ39 YES from 18% to 8%

ersatz

sold Ṁ3 YES from 19% to 18%

Srđan Pandurević

sold Ṁ21 NO from 18% to 19%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

bought Ṁ5 YES from 16% to 18%

NoUsernameSelected

bought Ṁ50 NO from 19% to 16%

Tomek K ☑️

bought Ṁ10 NO from 20% to 19%

filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 YES at 20% (cancelled)

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ100 YES at 17% (cancelled)

Henri Thunberg

sold Ṁ38 YES from 25% to 14%

filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ100 NO at 25% (cancelled)

filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ100 NO at 27% (cancelled)

Henri Thunberg

bought Ṁ50 YES from 21% to 30%

bought Ṁ20 NO from 22% to 21%

Pavel

bought Ṁ10 NO from 23% to 22%

Ivan

bought Ṁ10 NO from 24% to 23%

xCrimson

bought Ṁ18 YES from 22% to 24%

Ivan

bought Ṁ10 NO from 23% to 22%

filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ150 NO at 23% (cancelled)

Pepe

filled limit order Ṁ110/Ṁ110 NO at 24%

bought Ṁ10 NO at 25%

bought Ṁ10 NO at 25%

bought Ṁ10 NO at 25%

bought Ṁ100 NO at 25%

S G

bought Ṁ10 NO from 26% to 25%

bought Ṁ12 NO from 27% to 26%

filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 YES at 27% (cancelled)

treetop

sold Ṁ33 YES from 30% to 25%

Alex Rockwell

sold Ṁ6 YES from 32% to 30%

Olivia

bought Ṁ10 YES from 29% to 32%

bought Ṁ10 YES from 25% to 29%

Ivan

bought Ṁ40 NO from 26% to 25%

wasabipesto

sold Ṁ6 YES from 28% to 26%

filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ200 YES at 28% (cancelled)

Duncan

bought Ṁ15 NO from 28% to 26%

sold Ṁ2 YES from 29% to 28%

Pepe

filled limit order Ṁ74/Ṁ138 YES at 25% (cancelled)

Pavel

bought Ṁ10 NO at 29%

A* Ulven

bought Ṁ10 NO from 31% to 29%

Nicolas Delon

sold Ṁ11 NO from 29% to 31%

Quatach-Ichl

bought Ṁ23 NO from 31% to 29%

bought Ṁ2 YES from 29% to 31%

Daconom

sold Ṁ35 YES from 37% to 29%

Pepe

created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 37%

filled limit order Ṁ0/Ṁ1 NO at 37% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ8 NO from 40% to 37%

created limit order for Ṁ3 NO at 40% (cancelled)

filled limit order Ṁ0/Ṁ4 NO at 40% (cancelled)