Finland joins NATO in 2022
113
220Ṁ9396
resolved Jan 11
Resolved
NO
Close date updated to 2022-12-31 11:59 pm
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predictedNO

This can resolve.

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2022/09/22/u-s-ambassador-finland-and-sweden-in-nato-by-christmas-00058404

predictedYES

A progress tracker on the NATO website

Arbitrage with https://manifold.markets/PedroMonteiro/will-filnland-join-nato-until-the-e
predictedNO
Applying to join is a separate question.
predictedNO
Very confused by this. Would be helpful to have clarification on whether applying for membership counts!
I'm placing money on YES in the expectation that applying for membership will count.
Majority of Finns now favor NATO membership (https://www.ft.com/content/83deaf3e-6db9-43dd-a2dc-5e9493265c2d).
Thanks for catching that. I've fixed the date.
Unless I'm missing something, this market closes in six days, but 2022 has quite a few more months left in it after that. How will you handle this?
nah, but I could imagine them starting the application process

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