Finland joins NATO in 2022
16%
chance
Close date updated to 2022-12-31 11:59 pm
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BoltonBailey avatar
Bolton Bailey
sold Ṁ9 of NO
BoltonBailey avatar
Bolton Bailey
sold Ṁ9 of YES
BoltonBailey avatar
Bolton Bailey
is predicting YES at 44%
GustavoLacerda avatar
Gustavo Lacerda
is predicting NO at 70%
Applying to join is a separate question.
StephenMalina avatar
Stephen Malina
is predicting NO at 70%
Very confused by this. Would be helpful to have clarification on whether applying for membership counts!
AndrewHartman avatar
Andrew Hartman
bought Ṁ20 of YES
I'm placing money on YES in the expectation that applying for membership will count.
NN avatar
N. N.
bought Ṁ50 of YES
Majority of Finns now favor NATO membership (https://www.ft.com/content/83deaf3e-6db9-43dd-a2dc-5e9493265c2d).
GustavoLacerda avatar
Gustavo Lacerda
bought Ṁ1 of NO
Thanks for catching that. I've fixed the date.
Rutger avatar
Rutger
sold Ṁ5 of NO
Unless I'm missing something, this market closes in six days, but 2022 has quite a few more months left in it after that. How will you handle this?
hagi avatar
hagi
bought Ṁ10 of NO
nah, but I could imagine them starting the application process