Will Israel expel all Palestinians from Gaza?
Plus
14
Ṁ1014Jan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Fion Yes, this requires successful expulsion. I will interpret "all" as 99.99% of the Palestinian population successfully expelled and the intent to expel the remaining 0.01%.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will Israel annex at least 10% of current Gaza territory anytime to end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Israel occupy Gaza on a semi-permanent or permanent basis before 2025?
70% chance
Will Israel ethnically cleanse the Gaza strip of more than 100,000 Palestinian civilians by 2025?
13% chance
By 2025, will Israel claim that Hamas is no longer active in the Gaza Strip?
28% chance
Will Israel annex Gaza and move to expel a majority of its current residents by 2025?
7% chance
Will the war in Israel end after the entirety of the Gaza strip is occupied?
50% chance
Discourse 2024: Israel will assume full military occupation in Gaza?
36% chance
Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel at the end of 2024?
18% chance
Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
36% chance