MNWPM Experiment 2 Write a coherent ten-word sentence in reverse word order. Day 1: the 10th word of the response is:
Basic
26
Ṁ3894
resolved Jan 15
100%81%
backwards
2%
rationalussy
0.1%
This
0.1%
markets
11%
anymore
0.1%
flibbertigibbet
0.2%
Llanfair­pwllgwyngyll­gogery­chwyrn­drobwll­llan­tysilio­gogo­goch
1.0%
time.
1.1%
travel
3%Other

Welcome to Manifold Next Word Prediction Model Experiment 2.

The prompt is:. Write a coherent ten-word sentence in reverse word order.

This is day 1 which will decide the 10th word in the sentence. Over the next 10 days there will be a market to predict the next preceding word in the sentence.

This market will close at an arbitrary/ random time the following day.

This market will not resolve to 'Other'.

Thanks for participating!

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Day 2 now live:

Considering the difficulty of crafting a sensical sentence in reverse order I think this is a strong candidate... but then again whales can get better returns with Llanfair­pwllgwyngyll­gogery­chwyrn­drobwll­llan­tysilio­gogo­goch

Does it just resolve to whichever is highest at the arbitrary closing time?

@PlasmaBallin What the fuck why are all the whales finding my private whalebait now. It's so joever

@PlasmaBallin awww is this how MNWPM ends? Nonsense words 💀

@Tumbles I only submitted real words

@Tumbles Llanfair­pwllgwyngyll­gogery­chwyrn­drobwll­llan­tysilio­gogo­goch is a village in Wales and also the name of a species of soil bacteria.

@Tumbles didn't you add rationalussy?

@GordanKnott We could make a fun sentence that ends with rationalussy! Plus I bet it down after adding it LOL

@Tumbles I think rationalussy is the most obvious one to be considered a "nonsense word", though. The two I submitted are established words (or at least established names) with an agreed-upon meaning.

@PlasmaBallin I would concede that rationalussy isn't technically a real word, but I would rather fun fake words win than lame real words.

I'm not saying your words are against the rules! I just don't like them :P but that's also allowed

@Tumbles Rationalussy is complicated, but it's not nonsense, ironically. I still wouldn't be confident enough in understanding it's meaning to use it in a sentence

hah writing a sentence in reverse order will be difficult. any strategies yall can think of to make this grammatical?

@Tumbles LOL I'm scared 😅

@GordanKnott Just to clarify, this isn't resolving Other, right? It says it won't in the description but the percentage of yes shares on Other is confusing me.. did I miss something?

@bug It literally can't resolve other. Special other options on Manifold that other options are split out of don't work that way. If you bid YES on other, you are betting that an option that doesn't exist yet will be chosen. If you bid NO on other, you are betting that one of the current options will be selected.

Oh nevermind, I understand the thing now. Thanks!

@bug I don't understand your question. This market is going to resolve to a single option. Either that option has already been added, or it will be added in the future

@Tumbles Sorry, I was a bit confused, but I understand the thing now.

@GordanKnott To be clear this will resolve sometime on the 15th?

@Tumbles in my time zone, yes

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules