Manifold Next Word Prediction Model (MNWPM) experiment day 10 (last day).
This is an experiment to see if the Manifold Next Word Prediction Model can generate a coherent response to the prompt, "write a ten word sentence".
Over the last 9 days I created markets to predict the next word. The sentence so far is:
"Manifold will always predict that people are mostly pretty..."
This is the last day of the experiment.
Please add what you think the next word should be and/or vote up the best next word.
Please note, this will resolve to the highest scoring word - it will not resolve to the "Other" that means "an unspecified answer", but anyone may add "other" if the think that should be the next word.
Over the next few days I will run polls to gather feedback and decide next steps. I'll post links in the comments below.
Thank you for participating.
Btw, anything you can do to increase visibility and/or participation would be greatly appreciated.
Day 9 is here:
1,000
3.00Ok everyone, thank you for helping to make the Manifold Next Word Prediction Model Experiment 1 successful in its first experiment.
It's pretty clear to me that the system has created a coherent sentence.
I used random.org to generate a random time to resolve the market and I stuck to that, even though I wouldn't have chosen the final word - it's not up to me.
Some stats on the experiment:
Day 1 Traders 10 Views 126 Trading Volume M230 Subsidy Pool M363
Day 2 Traders 17 Views 263 Trading Volume M3k Subsidy Pool M695
Day 3 Traders 22 Views 226 Trading Volume M8k Subsidy Pool M765
Day 4 Traders 30 Views 483 Trading Volume M9.7k Subsidy Pool M968
Day 5 Traders 47 Views 487 Trading Volume M12k Subsidy Pool M1.7k
Day 6 Traders 40 Views 508 Trading Volume M24k Subsidy Pool M2.2k
Day 7 Traders 37 Views 364 Trading Volume M5.6k Subsidy Pool M1.6k
Day 8 Traders 47 Views 777 Trading Volume M14k Subsidy Pool M2.2k
Day 9 Traders 47 Views 659 Trading Volume M20k Subsidy Pool M1.9k
Day 10 Traders 48 Views 535 Trading Volume M20k Subsidy Pool M3.6k
Remember: Manifold will always predict that people are mostly pretty silly
@Milli I will resolve tomorrow at a time that is randomly selected within a 6 hour window that only I know. I hope that is acceptable.