When will Donald Trump declare victory in the 2024 election?
➕
Plus
20
Ṁ796
Nov 12
20%
11/05 10:00pm
14%
11/05 11:00pm
4%
11/06 12:00am
6%
11/06 1:00am
3%
11:07 10:00am
16%
11/05 8:00pm
16%
11/05 06:00pm
22%
Other

In 2020, Trump declared victory in the early morning after election day despite losing the election. In 2024, it is highly likely that Trump declares victory again whether he has won or not. So it’s not a matter of IF he declares victory, but WHEN. So, when will Trump declare victory in the 2024 election? Closest guess wins.

Eastern Standard Timezone, resolves N/A if he doesn’t declare victory.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I swear I searched "declare victory" and didn't see this market; didn't mean to duplicate it. Regardless, I made one similar without realizing this exists: https://manifold.markets/Hyperlincoln/when-will-donald-trump-first-declar

How is time being rounded? Does 10:50pm count towards 10pm or will it be rounded to 11 pm because it's technically closer? And anything preventing a user from adding correct answer after it happens and messing with outcome?

@redeagle Hour intervals are preferred. And no, other than me obsessively watching.

@Goodtimedan After looking at my options, I’ll see if I can close trading at 8:00am on election day.

bought Ṁ50 11/05 8:00pm YES

Does other get me even earlier? Like 8 am on 11/5 😂

@jdilla you should be able to add your own answer, right? I didn’t know “other” got in there, but that won’t be the answer I resolve to. Closest time guess wins, regardless of how close or when it happens.

How does this resolve if he doesn’t declare victory?

@bence Resolves N/A

What time zone?

@bence Eastern Standard. Good question.

Good time, dan

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules