Resolution Criteria
The market resolves based on matching integers between your submitted prediction (6 numbers from 1-42) and 6 numbers generated by fairlyrandom. Payouts cascade as follows:
6 matches: 60% of Ṁ200 jackpot
5 matches: 50% of remaining funds
4 matches: 40% of remaining funds
3 matches: 30% of remaining funds
2 matches: 20% of remaining funds
1 match: 10% of remaining funds
If multiple participants match the same tier, payouts split equally. Amounts below 10 mana are held in a ledger for future payout. Ledger balances expire after 3 months. Payouts round to nearest integer.
This description was in part generated by LLMs.
Only one account per person. I reserve the right to exclude alt accounts or primary accounts for using alts or for other reasons.
Ledger (balances expire after 3 months, expiration dates indicated):
2026-08-20 @bagofsprite : 4.9
2026-08-31 @AlanTennant : 4.9
2026-08-31 @Qoiuoiuoiu : 3.6
2026-08-31 @AvaneeshSrivastava : 3.6
2026-09-02 @Edwardc54b : 3.6
2026-09-09 @10thOfficial 5.76
2026-09-09 @SpamBurrito 5.76
2026-09-10 @Duck 5.76
2026-09-11 @ODU9Psu 5.76
2026-09-13 @jzsqu 5.76
2026-09-20 @g6290489 5.60
2026-09-20 @PhillyK 5.60
2026-09-21 @Panic 5.60
2026-09-23 @EL5Z 5.60
2026-09-24 @AndersonMc 5.60
2026-09-25 @PhilipDowdell 9.33
2026-09-25 @Duck 9.33
2026-10-07 @whoisthis 5.0667
2026-10-07 @Hwei 5.0667
2026-10-07 @AlanTennant 5.0667
1,000Let me know if the LLM made a mistake!
Drawn numbers: 4, 7, 25, 27, 29, 37
Matches
@Stralor — 1 (37)
@EstMtz — 1 (37)
@Pyroll — 1 (25)
Payout calculation (Ṁ200 jackpot)
1-match tier
10% × 200 = 20
3 winners → 6⅔ each
Prizes
Ledger (sub-10 payouts carried forward)
@Stralor — 6⅔
@EstMtz — 6⅔
@Pyroll — 6⅔
No winner had an existing ledger balance. Small winnings are carried forward in the new ledger.
@GilearFaeth you asked for a random integer between 1 and 42, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 6382673 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6382675, salt: 1zpw8nbx052.
@GilearFaeth your random number is: 27
Salt: 1zpw8nbx052, round: 6382675 (signature 81b314e1f4ec2e77e8c9a92b69be9aa26a55ccd18b501dde4c549fdff41036cc1371838010f219fe95741cbb7c9b4d0b02950c75b21cdfa637cb4c7d00766c1fe34b036c2a6e881689c35cf4de3c5800589532b9067f21d764536b40495e0199)
@GilearFaeth you asked for a random integer between 1 and 42, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 6382672 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6382674, salt: cnswsc1em7.
@GilearFaeth your random number is: 29
Salt: cnswsc1em7, round: 6382674 (signature 8dfa2406c3f4334c382347f33f80865855cea5d37c0a744607cc9f6d63568e7cc5cefb9382d797b465ae201ec1659b2a069754d9a708cec5614599a760a2ced4cb076497ea7a83b0a67fe32b6477670b6e79b70cb597117ff487eb74d76d9399)
@GilearFaeth you asked for a random integer between 1 and 42, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 6382672 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6382674, salt: d1l1wggwlde.
@GilearFaeth your random number is: 7
Salt: d1l1wggwlde, round: 6382674 (signature 8dfa2406c3f4334c382347f33f80865855cea5d37c0a744607cc9f6d63568e7cc5cefb9382d797b465ae201ec1659b2a069754d9a708cec5614599a760a2ced4cb076497ea7a83b0a67fe32b6477670b6e79b70cb597117ff487eb74d76d9399)
@GilearFaeth you asked for a random integer between 1 and 42, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 6382672 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6382674, salt: 6doluhqeppw.
@GilearFaeth your random number is: 4
Salt: 6doluhqeppw, round: 6382674 (signature 8dfa2406c3f4334c382347f33f80865855cea5d37c0a744607cc9f6d63568e7cc5cefb9382d797b465ae201ec1659b2a069754d9a708cec5614599a760a2ced4cb076497ea7a83b0a67fe32b6477670b6e79b70cb597117ff487eb74d76d9399)
@GilearFaeth you asked for a random integer between 1 and 42, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 6382671 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6382673, salt: i17p3wtzr2r.
@GilearFaeth your random number is: 25
Salt: i17p3wtzr2r, round: 6382673 (signature 866cc39ea411da28d7c686cb8cb06c95249c2ee17677d623f2bc01cf73488b518e8453b51da39814195c9bc5364003d412e99713f78a6124313668de49c28fbbdf9a72844d833fa85f1b62f91d0e6acc2920dd848c32457f81442a8081c74d7b)
@GilearFaeth you asked for a random integer between 1 and 42, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 6382671 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6382673, salt: smbnl6mjgdq.
@GilearFaeth your random number is: 37
Salt: smbnl6mjgdq, round: 6382673 (signature 866cc39ea411da28d7c686cb8cb06c95249c2ee17677d623f2bc01cf73488b518e8453b51da39814195c9bc5364003d412e99713f78a6124313668de49c28fbbdf9a72844d833fa85f1b62f91d0e6acc2920dd848c32457f81442a8081c74d7b)
whoops just hit buttons and forgot to vote for more than 1 😅
@Stralor There's always next time! 😉 BTW, if you resolve the following overdue markets, some of my mana is freed and I can increase the jackpot by more next round:
/Chimpey/my-ranking-in-silver-this-month-my
https://manifold.markets/Piglet/how-many-traders-will-the-linked-ma#iu8b9rb8hyq
@Stralor Yes! And a 1 in 7 chance of winning it, but very likely that you'd have to share it with others.