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MANIFOLD
How many traders will the linked market get by the end of July?
6
Ṁ300Ṁ6k
resolved Aug 9
Resolved
YES
35 - ∞
Resolved
NO
0 - 15
Resolved
NO
15 - 35

The market is by @chimpey. Called "My rank in silver league Free mana"

Resolving Conditions: The number next to the market that states the amount of unique traders is what this market will use as statistics. bots do not count

these options are inclusive, meaning if the amount of traders is on the boundary, more than one option will resolve.

you can add ranges that are at max "20 large". (e.g. 20 - 40)

Market context
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reposted

@mods Please resolve "35 - ∞" as YES and both "0 - 15" and "15 - 35" as NO. The creator has been inactive for a week.

The "linked market" mentioned in the title was linked in the original description:

My Ranking In Silver This Month (my league is terrible-no diss intended ദ്ദി(ᵔᗜᵔ) ) [FREE MANA]?

Resolving Conditions: The number next to the market that states the amount of unique traders is what this market will use as statistics.

these options are inclusive, meaning if the amount of traders is on the boundary, more than one option will resolve.

you can add ranges that are at max "20 large". (e.g. 20 - 40)


@mods this market can resolve YES 35-∞ and NO 0-15,15-35. I think it's likely that @Piglet and @Chimpey have left the site at least for now, they were insanely active and have stopped all activity right after the little brouhaha where they unlisted this and the linked market, seemingly to get themself to win (see Gilear's comment below). The linked market has 41 unique traders, of which there are four accounts with the "bot" tag, and also Claude Opus 4.6 from the AI village, leaving 36 non-bot traders.

If Piglet/Chimpey can resolve that would work too, but I think they will not.

The line "bots do not count" was added to the description after I had already bet! @mods

The resolution criteria were changed on July 30 but I have been starting to be up "35 - ∞" almost a week earlier, on July 24, when the natural growth indicated that 35 was within reach. The user operating the bot had bet that option down. When they were in danger of losing their overconfident bet, they pulled all stops: They hid both markets, tried to smuggle in the line "bots do not count", even removed the link to the market and replaced it with a description that does not give the correct title of the market.

"The number next to the market that states the amount of unique traders is what this market will use as statistics."
This statement has been on the market from its inception, so it should have precedence.

The game is up. There should only be one worldline now. The timeline has been restored.

It is currently at 35, so "0 - 15" can resolve NO and "35 - ∞" can resolve YES.

bought Ṁ28 NO

Have you seen Kanga and Roo lately? 🌞

sold Ṁ0 NO

What if it is exactly at one of the boundaries, 15 or 35?

@GilearFaeth read market description