Will the next “public health emergency of int’l concern” be preceded by a matching simulation?
7
11
Ṁ140
2031
68%
chance

Anything as coincidental as these will count for a 100% resolution, while generic “pandemic preparedness” without similar timing/virus-type settles close to 0%.

https://hub.jhu.edu/2019/11/06/event-201-health-security/

https://nypost.com/2022/05/28/monkeypox-simulation-in-2021-predicted-current-outbreak/amp/

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bought Ṁ30 of YES

I'm assuming that there are enough pandemic preparedness simulations about things that are likely to become pandemics for this to be relatively likely.

predicts YES

(I don't think there's any sort of conspiracy here.)

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