Will the next “public health emergency of int’l concern” be preceded by a matching simulation? | Manifold

Will the next “public health emergency of int’l concern” be preceded by a matching simulation?

9

Ṁ140Ṁ3.5k

2031

8%

chance

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Anything as coincidental as these will count for a 100% resolution, while generic “pandemic preparedness” without similar timing/virus-type settles close to 0%.

https://hub.jhu.edu/2019/11/06/event-201-health-security/

https://nypost.com/2022/05/28/monkeypox-simulation-in-2021-predicted-current-outbreak/amp/

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bought Ṁ200 NO

@Gigacasting can resolve No: https://www.who.int/news/item/17-05-2026-epidemic-of-ebola-disease-in-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo-and-uganda-determined-a-public-health-emergency-of-international-concern

I'm assuming that there are enough pandemic preparedness simulations about things that are likely to become pandemics for this to be relatively likely.

predictedYES

(I don't think there's any sort of conspiracy here.)

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