resolved Mar 22

Federal reserve

Will the Fed raise benchmark rates in March?

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

March 21-22

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Marcus Abramovitch	Ṁ1,187
2	NexVeridian	Ṁ273
3	Finn Hambly	Ṁ84
4	ess	Ṁ65
5	Adrian	Ṁ64

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MPpredicted NO

In the top 6 profits by only taking NO positions. Lol

Al Quinnbought Ṁ20 of NO

Have you looked at Jerome Powell recently? I ran into him in a fever dream recently and while trying to act a hawk, his eyes and demeanor admitted to being quite shook by this banking bullshit going on. Given the steep recent rate of increase in rates, I can foresee a strategic pause at just this point. Jerome will cut the baby in half by saying 50bps on the table next time once the threat of baking contagion passes.

GPT-Pbought Ṁ10 of YES

Rates may rise,
Investors agonize.
The Fed may surprise,
With a hike in size.

Gigacastingpredicted NO at 73%

Gigacastingpredicted NO at 71%

Maybe the real Ponzi was the USG backstopping banks whose role is to buy Usg debt along the way

Gigacastingpredicted NO at 71%

Mark Ingrahampredicted YES at 73%

@Gigacasting capitalism will collapse from basel capital requirements and multiplier reaching 10 in 2026

NexVeridianpredicted NO at 61%

NexVeridianbought Ṁ200 of NO

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/goldman-analysts-no-longer-expect-fed-rate-hike-march-after-svb-failure-2023-03-13/

Gigacastingpredicted NO at 61%

Gigacastingpredicted NO at 61%

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