Will the Fed raise benchmark rates in March?
45
136
870
resolved Mar 22
Resolved
YES

March 21-22

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predicted NO

In the top 6 profits by only taking NO positions. Lol

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Have you looked at Jerome Powell recently? I ran into him in a fever dream recently and while trying to act a hawk, his eyes and demeanor admitted to being quite shook by this banking bullshit going on. Given the steep recent rate of increase in rates, I can foresee a strategic pause at just this point. Jerome will cut the baby in half by saying 50bps on the table next time once the threat of baking contagion passes.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Rates may rise,
Investors agonize.
The Fed may surprise,
With a hike in size.

predicted NO
predicted NO

Maybe the real Ponzi was the USG backstopping banks whose role is to buy Usg debt along the way

predicted NO
predicted YES

@Gigacasting capitalism will collapse from basel capital requirements and multiplier reaching 10 in 2026

predicted NO
predicted NO
predicted NO