Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2023)
AI capabilities (short- and medium-term) [WIP]•AI•Advent of Code
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resolved Jan 12
Resolved
NO
Get Ṁ200 play money

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Can someone clarify the resolving conditions for this question. How many problems does the model have to solve? Are we looking at pass@1 ? Can it use sampling techniques like self consistency? What about prompting techniques like tree of thought?

predicted NO

Edit: hiding comment, I misunderstood the question.

predicted NO

Related:

bought Ṁ500 of NO

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37899922

bought Ṁ20 of NO

@Gigacasting how does this resolve if AIs aren't allowed to compete?

bought Ṁ50 of YES

Might be very very underpriced if

bought Ṁ50 of NO
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bought Ṁ50 of YES

Might be very underpriced.

👑

predicted NO

AI=AI

Zero intervention

predicted NO

@Gigacasting, this market needs way more details.

A combination of human and AI doesn’t count I imagine? Also, does this resolve N/A if some or all AIs are banned from competing?

bought Ṁ100 of NO

How will this resolve if the winner uses an AI like twice? Or uses the equivalent of copilot but chooses/edits generated code manually?

Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2023), 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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