Will Advent Of Code problems be solved much faster this year (presumably due to use of AI)
11
126
210
resolved Dec 15
Resolved
NO

Advent Of Code is a fun but pretty competitive programming competition held every year. It consists of 25 problems released one per day with increasing difficulty level.

For this question, we will look at average time it took top 3 players to solve puzzles for days 10 through 15. For example, here's the stats for day 10 of the last year. We'll look at average time across first 3 users to get both stars, and in this case it is 363s. Score for entire year is the average across all 6 days.

Here is the program I'm going to use to get the score:

Math.round((await Promise.all([10,11,12,13,14,15].map(async day => [...(await (await fetch('https://adventofcode.com/2022/leaderboard/day/'+day)).text()).matchAll(/<span class="leaderboard-time">(.*?)<\/span>/g)].slice(0,3).map(x=>{let [h,m,s]=x[1].split(' ').at(-1).split(':');return Number(s)+m*60+h*60*60}).reduce((a,b)=>a+b,0)/3))).reduce((a,b)=>a+b,0)/6)

You can run it in browser console of this page https://adventofcode.com/ . Please let me know if you notice any bugs.

For reference, here are scores for all previous years:

  • 2015 - 378s

  • 2016 - 542s

  • 2017 - 307s

  • 2018 - 860s

  • 2019 - 747s

  • 2020 - 308s

  • 2021 - 278s

  • 2022 - 456s

Resolves YES: If the score for 2023 will be less than 150s.

Resolves NO: If the score is equal or higher than 150s.

Resolves N/A: if Advent Of Code will not publish this information this year, or something like that.

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predicted NO

The score for 2023 is 393s. Resolving as NO.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

As of day 11... this criteria (average time of first three users to get both stars for the day is less than 2m30s) seems to be true for only days 2, 6, and 9 of this year's advent of code. The problems are getting harder so I doubt it will be true for the average of days 10-15.