AI: Will someone train a $1B model by 2025?
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bought Ṁ30 YES

This has arguably happened / is happening with llama 3 405B right?

Is this the company's self-reported cost (i.e. cost of electricity)? Or is it the public cost for the corresponding G/TPUs days at market rate on e.g. AWS?

predicts NO
predicts NO

Cost of compute

Does this refer only to spending on compute for the model's final training run?

predicts YES

@StevenK Ooo, good point. I did assume that that's what it meant when I bought in. I thing it would already be true if they included all costs (institutional overhead, researcher labor, development pipeline costs, etc.)