AI: Will someone open-source a $1B model by 2025?
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Likely the most expensive model trained to date is PaLM, which cost ~$10-20M as per the analysis here: https://blog.heim.xyz/palm-training-cost/
Therefore this market is positing that (1) within the next 2yr a model 50-100x the price of the to-date most expensive model gets trained, and (2) the company that trained it open-sources that model.
#1 I could maybe see happening, but not #1 & #2 together
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