AI Leaderboard Ranking: AoC 2023
9
390Ṁ749Dec 26
50
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
AI is #1 competitive coder in CodeForces by EOY2025?
65% chance
Will the top player in AoE2 lose against an AOE2 AI by EOY 2026? (must be at least 3 games)
32% chance
Will we calculate the APM of AOE2 pros (eg Daut, Viper, MBL, TaToH) by EOY 2025 *just* by screen recordings/YT?
38% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?
23% chance
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Which organization will top the lmarena leaderboard at the end of 2026?
Sort by:
@SirCryptomind Market creator wrote "Unranked = Max" and resolved other markets as if AI was unranked. I think we all bet based on this interpretation
People are also trading
Related questions
AI is #1 competitive coder in CodeForces by EOY2025?
65% chance
Will the top player in AoE2 lose against an AOE2 AI by EOY 2026? (must be at least 3 games)
32% chance
Will we calculate the APM of AOE2 pros (eg Daut, Viper, MBL, TaToH) by EOY 2025 *just* by screen recordings/YT?
38% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?
23% chance
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Which organization will top the lmarena leaderboard at the end of 2026?