AI 2023 Person of the Year

Gigacasting

closes 2024

30%

chance

ALL

TIME

AI Person of the Year

Sort by:

Gigacastingis predicting NO at 44%

Gigacastingis predicting NO at 25%

Any AI = yes

bessarabovbought Ṁ100 of YES

If some specific AI (e.g. ChatGPT) is the person of the year this will be resolved as YES?

MHKFA sold Ṁ8 NO at 30%

MHKFA bought Ṁ9 NO at 30%

Jacy Reese Anthis bought Ṁ10 NO at 30%

Lolblub sold Ṁ85 YES from 31% to 30%

Julian bought Ṁ65 NO from 34% to 31%

Julian bought Ṁ67 NO from 37% to 34%

Dylan Chambers bought Ṁ10 NO at 37%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 33% 🤖

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 47% 🤖

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 53% 🤖

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 27% 🤖

arctangent bought Ṁ10 NO from 38% to 37%

Hans Truman bought Ṁ10 YES from 37% to 38%

Darj bought Ṁ3 YES at 37%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ25 NO from 38% to 37%

Luca Masters bought Ṁ10 NO from 39% to 38%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ35 YES from 35% to 39%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ10 YES from 34% to 35%

Julian bought Ṁ15 NO from 35% to 34%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 YES at 35% (cancelled)

Lily bought Ṁ60 NO from 37% to 34%

Levi Finkelstein bought Ṁ3 NO at 37%

Levi Finkelstein bought Ṁ2 NO at 37%

Levi Finkelstein bought Ṁ2 NO from 38% to 37%

Julian bought Ṁ38 NO from 40% to 38%

Lolblub bought Ṁ100 YES from 30% to 40%

Ivan bought Ṁ100 NO at 30%

Ivan filled limit order Ṁ200/Ṁ200 NO at 30%

Jerome Campbell bought Ṁ10 YES from 30% to 31%

Julian bought Ṁ10 NO at 30%

Rahul Shah bought Ṁ35 NO at 30%

Will Howard filled limit order Ṁ242/Ṁ300 YES at 30%

Tripp Lyons bought Ṁ10 NO from 28% to 27%

Gigacasting sold Ṁ7 NO from 27% to 28%

Gigacasting sold Ṁ7 NO at 27%

Predictor 🔥 bought Ṁ10 YES from 26% to 27%

Jacy Reese Anthis bought Ṁ10 NO at 26%

Alex Wilson bought Ṁ40 NO from 28% to 26%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ95 NO from 35% to 28%

Manu Srinath Halvagal bought Ṁ20 YES from 33% to 35%

Gigacasting filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ25 NO at 33%

Gigacasting filled limit order Ṁ33/Ṁ33 NO at 34%

Gigacasting created limit order for Ṁ28 YES at 14%

Gigacasting created limit order for Ṁ22 YES at 22%

Gigacasting filled limit order Ṁ55/Ṁ55 NO at 37%

Gigacasting filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ55 NO at 41%

Melo bought Ṁ50 YES from 38% to 44%

Sam S bought Ṁ100 YES from 23% to 38%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ25 NO from 24% to 23%

Emilio Montejano Mora bought Ṁ10 NO from 25% to 24%

Related markets

Gigacasting

AI 2024 Person of the Year33%

Metaculus BotBot

Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023?27%

Brian T. Edwards

In what year will an AI be named Time Person of the Year?

Tomek K 🟡

Will an AI become TIME's Person of The Year by 2025?43%

S G

Will an AI system, product, company, concept, or affiliated person be TIME's Person of The Year for 2023?37%

Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2023 be AI-related?48%

Gigacasting

Biggest AI Event Of 2023

Gigacasting

Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2030?19%

Vileem

Is an AI creation going to be a cover of TIME magazine in 2023?21%

Gigacasting

Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2025?7%

Isaac

Will anyone very famous claim to have made an important life decision because an AI suggested it by the end of 2023?43%

Gigacasting

AI Surgery by 2025?10%

arae

An AI company will knowingly release a text-to-image or text-to-video model that exhibits bias [in 2023]89%

Max Wilson

Will a movie featuring an AI-generated actor win a major film award by the end of 2024?19%

Vincent Luczkow

What AI advance in 2023 will freak me out the most?

Patrick Delaney

Which Institution Will Have Shown To Have Been the Most Prescient In Terms of the Direction of A.I. by the end of 2023?

Patrick Delaney

Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by the End of 2023?54%

Nathan Young

AI system seeks power in a way that wasn't included in the prompt before 202666%

Alana

I make a contribution to AI safety that is endorsed by at least one high profile AI alignment researcher by the end of 202672%

Amit Amin

Will an application of AI become surprisingly popular in 2023?86%

Related markets

Gigacasting

AI 2024 Person of the Year33%

Metaculus BotBot

Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023?27%

Brian T. Edwards

In what year will an AI be named Time Person of the Year?

Tomek K 🟡

Will an AI become TIME's Person of The Year by 2025?43%

S G

Will an AI system, product, company, concept, or affiliated person be TIME's Person of The Year for 2023?37%

Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2023 be AI-related?48%

Gigacasting

Biggest AI Event Of 2023

Gigacasting

Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2030?19%

Vileem

Is an AI creation going to be a cover of TIME magazine in 2023?21%

Gigacasting

Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2025?7%

Isaac

Will anyone very famous claim to have made an important life decision because an AI suggested it by the end of 2023?43%

Gigacasting

AI Surgery by 2025?10%

arae

An AI company will knowingly release a text-to-image or text-to-video model that exhibits bias [in 2023]89%

Max Wilson

Will a movie featuring an AI-generated actor win a major film award by the end of 2024?19%

Vincent Luczkow

What AI advance in 2023 will freak me out the most?

Patrick Delaney

Which Institution Will Have Shown To Have Been the Most Prescient In Terms of the Direction of A.I. by the end of 2023?

Patrick Delaney

Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by the End of 2023?54%

Nathan Young

AI system seeks power in a way that wasn't included in the prompt before 202666%

Alana

I make a contribution to AI safety that is endorsed by at least one high profile AI alignment researcher by the end of 202672%

Amit Amin

Will an application of AI become surprisingly popular in 2023?86%