1
AI 2023 Person of the Year
42
closes 2024
30%
chance

TIME

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Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingis predicting NO at 44%
Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingis predicting NO at 25%

Any AI = yes

bessarabov avatar
bessarabovbought Ṁ100 of YES

If some specific AI (e.g. ChatGPT) is the person of the year this will be resolved as YES?

Related markets

AI 2024 Person of the Year33%
Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023?27%
In what year will an AI be named Time Person of the Year?
Will an AI become TIME's Person of The Year by 2025?43%
Will an AI system, product, company, concept, or affiliated person be TIME's Person of The Year for 2023?37%
Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2023 be AI-related?48%
Biggest AI Event Of 2023
Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2030?19%
Is an AI creation going to be a cover of TIME magazine in 2023?21%
Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2025?7%
Will anyone very famous claim to have made an important life decision because an AI suggested it by the end of 2023?43%
AI Surgery by 2025?10%
An AI company will knowingly release a text-to-image or text-to-video model that exhibits bias [in 2023]89%
Will a movie featuring an AI-generated actor win a major film award by the end of 2024?19%
What AI advance in 2023 will freak me out the most?
Which Institution Will Have Shown To Have Been the Most Prescient In Terms of the Direction of A.I. by the end of 2023?
Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by the End of 2023?54%
AI system seeks power in a way that wasn't included in the prompt before 202666%
I make a contribution to AI safety that is endorsed by at least one high profile AI alignment researcher by the end of 202672%
Will an application of AI become surprisingly popular in 2023?86%