Will AI-generated content be banned or clearly labeled by at least one major social platform (Meta, X, TikTok,YouTube)?
3
100Ṁ63
Dec 31
67%
chance

Resolves YES if by 23:59 UTC on Dec 31, 2026, at least one of the following platforms:

  • Meta (Facebook or Instagram)

  • X (Twitter)

  • TikTok

  • YouTube

officially enforces either:

  1. A platform-wide ban on AI-generated content OR

  2. A mandatory, clearly visible label for AI-generated content (text, image, audio, or video), enforced by policy and not optional for creators.

Evidence must come from:

  • Official policy pages

  • Company blog posts

  • Public announcements or enforcement documentation

Resolves NO if:

  • Labeling is optional

  • Labels exist but are rarely enforced

  • Only political ads or deepfakes are covered

  • Only third-party or voluntary disclosure tools exist

Notes

  • “Clearly labeled” means visible to normal users without clicking through menus.

  • Temporary trials or limited experiments do not count.

  • Country-specific rules count only if applied platform-wide in that region.

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As of Jan 1, 2026, none of Meta (Facebook/Instagram), X, TikTok, or YouTube has a platform-wide ban on AI-generated content, nor a mandatory, clearly visible label enforced for all AI-generated content.

Some platforms have:

  • Optional AI disclosure tools

  • Limited rules for political ads or deepfakes

These do not meet the resolution criteria.

Current status: NO (baseline).

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