[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?

[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

China produces 3nm chips before 2027?

Will China's Darwin neuromorphic chip create an LLM in 2026?

Will C.C. Wei (CEO of TSMC) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?