Will Katja Grace be No. 1 on the All Time Profit Leaderboard at any point before 2024?
32
610Ṁ24k
resolved Jan 17
Resolved
NO

If it's only for a second because of some anomaly it will likely not count it.

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⚠Unreceptive to pings ; AFK Creator

📢Resolved to NO

@GeorgeVii Can you please resolve?

Are there any reasons this is especially likely? Manifold has a lot of traders, so the base rate is really low, and Katja isn't even close to being on the leaderboard now.

@Conflux 30,000 in her first month and a half was pretty impressive.



(while it lasted)

@MichaelWheatley Ah, that’s pretty impressive!

Still doesn’t change my prediction all that much.

predictedYES

Evidence against -

predictedNO

@KatjaGrace nah it's just high variance.

Go big or go home ;p

@GeorgeVii it does remind me of another graph tho 😅

Does it have to be genuine, or "top 1 due Manifold bug" counts as well?

predictedNO

@ValeryCherepanov bugs won't count

predictedNO

@GeorgeVii neither will manipulation if I know of it

Which all time leaderboard? There are 3.

@IsaacKing profit sry

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