Will Hamas execute an Israeli hostage and release video of the killing. | Manifold

Will Hamas execute an Israeli hostage and release video of the killing.

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32

Ṁ2497

2026

13%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

One hostage execution with video will resolve as yes.

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#🇮🇱 Israel

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict

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sold Ṁ34 NO

Taking and releasing a video seems unlikely since my guess is they don't want to not give Israel propaganda talking points. Though, I'm surprised they haven't threatened it with Benjamin Mileikowsky continuing to sabotage ceasefire talks.

bought Ṁ50 NO

They won't, they'll murder them then use their supporters in the media and the UN to blame 'The Jews™'.

It won’t happen. Hamas propaganda has been uniformly trying to emphasize that they treat the hostages well. Also, doing an ISIS style execution would make it even more difficult for Western supporters of Hamas to have plausible deniability that Hamas is a terrorist organization.

predictedNO

December 31 2025

By when? EOY or end of 2024?

The fact this market trades above 10% shows just how barbaric Hamas is

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Given that Hamas will execute a hostage and release video of the killing, will at least 1 hostage be a child under 16?

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Which of the goals of the ongoing operation in Gaza will Israel achieve: freeing the hostages and eliminating Hamas?

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