Will Hamas execute an Israeli hostage and release video of the killing.
22
148
350
2026
16%
chance

One hostage execution with video will resolve as yes.

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bought Ṁ20 of NO

It won’t happen. Hamas propaganda has been uniformly trying to emphasize that they treat the hostages well. Also, doing an ISIS style execution would make it even more difficult for Western supporters of Hamas to have plausible deniability that Hamas is a terrorist organization.

predicts NO

December 31 2025

By when? EOY or end of 2024?

The fact this market trades above 10% shows just how barbaric Hamas is

bought Ṁ30 of NO

@MarcusAbramovitch It shows how barbaric manifold users think Hamas is.

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