What will i do this year?
4
300Ṁ552
Dec 31
34%
Lose a job
17%
Commit a felony.
15%
Read one or more of: The Life You Can Save, Animal Liberation (Now), The Precipice, Superintelligence, HPMOR, Inadequate Equilibria, The Sequences, Unsong, The Scout Mindset
12%
Will you eat a potato (today forward, has to be straight potato)
10%
Run a marathon before the end of the year.
10%
Make 100000 dollars
10%
Get a motorcycle
Resolved
YES
Read 3 books
Resolved
N/A
Convert to Judaism

ADD questions:

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the occurrence of specific events or achievements in my life during the current year. Each option will resolve as follows:

  • Yes: The specified event or achievement occurs within the year.

  • No: The specified event or achievement does not occur within the year.

  • N/A: The option is ambiguous, unverifiable, or lacks clear criteria for resolution.

For example, if an option is "Run a marathon," it will resolve "Yes" if I complete a marathon this year, and "No" if I do not.

Background

Common personal goals that individuals set for themselves include:

  • Health and Fitness: Engaging in regular exercise, adopting a healthier diet, or achieving a specific fitness milestone.

  • Career Advancement: Pursuing a promotion, acquiring new professional skills, or changing careers.

  • Financial Objectives: Saving for a significant purchase, reducing debt, or investing in new opportunities.

  • Personal Development: Learning a new language, developing a hobby, or improving time management skills.

  • Social Engagement: Spending more time with family and friends, volunteering, or expanding one's social network.

These goals are often pursued to enhance overall well-being and personal satisfaction.

Considerations

  • Specificity: Ensure that each option added to the market is specific and measurable to facilitate clear resolution.

  • Verifiability: Options should be based on events or achievements that can be objectively verified.

  • Time Frame: All options should pertain to events or achievements that can reasonably occur within the current year.

    I am:

  • 6"4'

  • 170 pounds

  • Update 2025-06-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Will you eat a potato", the creator has specified that the potato:

    • Can be washed and cooked

    • Must not be seasoned

  • Update 2025-06-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the "Will you eat a potato" answer:

    • A sweet potato counts.

    • Butter is allowed and does not count as seasoning.

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