Gene Fama
closed Jan 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if there's more than 1 hour of a major outage (Twitter's webiste has to be down and users unable to Tweet for that to be considered an outage.)
This market was created on Dec 29, 2022
Otherwise resolves NO.
Sort by:

mukimame addictbought Ṁ5 of YES
Not sure if this counts as a major outage? (It seems to have lasted over an hour, and some users were unable to log in.) https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/twitter-suffers-second-outage-in-a-week-20230104-p5ca9q.html

mukimame addictis predicting YES at 5%
@mukimameaddict this shows a chart from Down Detector - it seems that the reports lasted at least a few hours. https://www.news.com.au/finance/business/technology/twitter-outage-detected-in-australia-website-and-app-incredibly-slow/news-story/60deef5077a7628c41d60aeaf4642a87
YES shares
60
44
38
10
NO shares
544
452
273
179
89
82
35
22
13
11











