GeneFama avatar
Gene Fama
closed Jan 31
Will Twitter suffer a major outage before the end of Jan 2023?
6%
chance

Resolves Yes if there's more than 1 hour of a major outage (Twitter's webiste has to be down and users unable to Tweet for that to be considered an outage.)

This market was created on Dec 29, 2022

Otherwise resolves NO.

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mukimameaddict avatar
mukimame addictbought Ṁ5 of YES

Not sure if this counts as a major outage? (It seems to have lasted over an hour, and some users were unable to log in.) https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/twitter-suffers-second-outage-in-a-week-20230104-p5ca9q.html

mukimameaddict avatar
mukimame addictis predicting YES at 5%
daniel avatar
Danielis predicting NO at 35%

@mukimameaddict No, it's a localized outage.