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MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic announce having solved Navier Stokes but actually not have?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ935
Dec 30
1%
chance

This market could theoretically resolve to an announcement, this is an insurance / unlikely outcome market to measure the likelihood of an issue

Millennium Prize Problems
Anthropic
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Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
3% chance
Will AI solve another Millennium Prize Problem (besides Navier–Stokes) before September 15, 2027?
+4% 1d76% chance
Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)
Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes?
Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?
4% chance
Will AI produce a proof of finite-time blow-up for the unforced Navier–Stokes equations before 2027?
-6% 1d38% chance
Which of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Serrano and Google DeepMind publish Navier-Stokes result by 2027?
3% chance
Will Navier-Stokes be solved by AI?
96% chance
When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved?
2026