Will Andrew Tate remain in jail/detention until April 1st, 2023?
16
58
410
resolved Apr 2
Resolved
NO

Will the Tates have their detention extended again?

Will Andrew Tate remain in detention until April 1st 2023?

Timeline

December 29, 2022 - Detained for 24 hours

December 30, 2022 - Detention extended to 30 days

January 10, 2023 - Tates lose their appeal

January 20, 2023 - Tates detention extended 30 days more

February 1, 2023 - Tates appeal rejected

As of 9/02/2023, their detention is set to end on February 27th.

There can be a maximum of 6 extensions (to a cap of 180 days)

Official resolution criteria:

Resolves YES if any dot point occurs:

  • Andrew Tate (irrelevant of other parties) spends 48 hours outside of detention by the market close date, even if detention later resumes. Does not count time if he is being transferred. One example of where the 48 hours would be relevant, is if he is released/deported, and then arrested at his new destination within 48 hours.

  • Andrew Tate is officially released from detention, and remains in Romania

Resolution may take 2 days after close date, to verify meeting criteria.

Related markets, all subsidised 100M

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ2,527
2Ṁ1,089
3Ṁ591
4Ṁ20
5Ṁ8
Sort by:
sold Ṁ77 of YES

Transferred from jail/detention to house arrest. Unless he is jailed again in the 48hour window following release (or the warrant for his detention is renewed, overruling this judges decision) this will resolve NO

predicted NO

@Gen I understand that house arrest can be called home detention but it’s a drastically different circumstance, happy to hear your thoughts

predicted NO

@Gen The 48hours doesn’t even really apply here tbh. Romanian judge changed the warrant for detention to house arrest

predicted YES

@Gen House arrest is a form of detention. Why would you include detention in your question if this resolves no?

predicted NO

His house arrest is considerably different to what this market was intended for, in that while he is still held at his house, it’s not really “detention” in the same way a jail cell is.

For example, if they say “you can’t leave the country” is he being detained in the country?

It’s meaningfully different to the jail/detention he’s in now, the main reason the word “detention” was used is because that’s the legal term for what the police awarded him - detention

if I wanted it to be like you’re suggesting, I think it would be more appropriately labelled “would Andrew Tate remain in custody”

I will grant you though, as an Australian myself, we do refer to house arrest as “home detention”, so I understand the confusion 😵‍💫

predicted NO

@Gen If you can find me something that outlines home detention in Romania being the same as their previous ruling for “detention”, I’ll grant it

predicted NO

@Gen But the news I see explicitly notes a change from detention to house arrest

predicted YES

@Gen Look I might be wrong because I know nothing about this stuff. But my argument would be that your resolution criteria puts the focus on detention and I would argue that he has not been released from detention but moved from one form of detention to another.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pre-trial_detention

"Pre-trial detention, also known as preventive detention, provisional detention, or remand is the process of detaining a person until their trial after they have been arrested and charged with an offence. A person who is on remand is held in a prison or detention centre or held under house arrest."

predicted NO

@UFTG Yeah I’m going to resolve NO after a little bit once I know for sure the situation better, barring a significant change in information (such as he is detained within one room of his house or something strange)

I will refund you 2.5k M or something based on what I bought of your position as I do understand the confusion and I can see myself making that mistake

predicted NO

Msg me on discord @Genzy#9206 for refund mana

predicted YES

@Gen it's all good I'll take the L