Israel-Hamas ceasefire lasts at least a month?
12
100Ṁ601
Nov 16
74%
chance

With a ceasefire in place and agreements for Hamas to return the Israeli hostages, Will Trump’s peace efforts remain in effect? Will the IDF and Hamas stick to the agreements? Or will they start fighting again?

❗This will resolve as “YES” if the ceasefire remains unbroken for a month, but will end “NO” if at any point the ceasefire is broken❗️

  • Update 2025-10-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if the ceasefire breaks down (as would be well reported in media), not necessarily for minor violations of the agreement.

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What amount of violation would it take to resolve NO? Israel has already violated the agreement several times

@FecalAbhuman Hello and thanks for the question. This is more about whether the ceasefire will hold. The answer will resolve “NO” if the ceasefire breaks down. I am Sure that it would be well reported over media. 🙏🇵🇸

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