Resolves according to:
Manifold plays hangman! #3 [1000M prize]
Anyone can guess by adding an answer to this market.
Users only have one guess each, a word that has already been guessed can't be guessed again.
This market doesn't impact the other markets except for the one about hangman 3 being profitable.
The correct answer resolves yes when the main market resolves, if the word hasn't been guessed, the answer "No one is right" resolves yes. All invalid answers resolve NO.
The player that guessed right (by adding a valid answer) (if any) gets 1000M when the main market is fully resolved.
Update 2025-11-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Guesses must be submitted as answers containing the guessed word, not just the user's name.
Update 2025-11-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a user submits multiple answers, only their first answer is valid. All subsequent answers from that user will resolve NO.
Update 2025-11-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If an answer cannot be resolved to N/A (due to technical limitations with linked multiple choice markets), it will be resolved NO instead.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ165 | |
| 2 | Ṁ137 | |
| 3 | Ṁ106 | |
| 4 | Ṁ95 | |
| 5 | Ṁ65 |
People are also trading
@AshDorsey I think 'nighty' would also be possible.
An online dictionary also suggests a few other options (vintry, hitchy, titchy, zincky) but indeed I think all of those are obscure enough that I doubt they would be chosen as options.
Is "other" and "no one is right" different?
@CramerSmith other is other peoples future answers, no one is right means no one now or in the future will get it.
@JTBooth you have to guess a word, not just add your name, the answer you add has to contain your guess
@GastonKessler It would be clearer if the question title were something like “What will the winning word be?”
@JTBooth you can edit your answer (I believe Manifold allows it, if not, I can do it for you) as soon as you want to make a (valid) guess,. Sorry if the instructions weren't clear.
@GastonKessler ahhh I see what's supposed to happen now, this is the guessing market. I thought I was guessing in the comments on the other market.
@JTBooth huh, I don't actually want to guess yet. I don't think it's fair for my answer to trade before I guess. Probably it's best to NA it
@JTBooth I don't think I can NA an individual answer on a linked multiple choice market (correct me if I'm wrong), so I will have to resolve it NO...
@JTBooth I've sent you 25M to compensate that loss and allow you to make your real guess "for free".