Manifold plays hangman! #3 [1000M prize]
5
2.6kṀ1477
Dec 8
50%
A
20%
B
29%
C
27%
D
57%
E
26%
F
37%
G
41%
H
41%
I
22%
J
24%
K
41%
L
24%
M
41%
N
41%
O
24%
P
16%
Q
41%
R
41%
S
41%
T

Word:______

Incorrect guesses: 0/6:

The banner art might not be up to date!

Background Hangman is a word guessing game where players try to guess a hidden word one letter at a time. Each incorrect guess results in drawing part of a hanging stick figure. The game is lost if the figure is completed (typically after 6 wrong guesses) before the word is solved.

Resolution Criteria

  • Every day, at ~8am UTC+2 the letter with the highest % (first in alphabetical order if there is a tie) will resolve.

  • Each letter in the alphabet (A-Z) will resolve YES if it appears in the hidden word, NO if it does not appear in the word.

  • I will reveal the hidden word and mark resolutions of the letter that didn't get resolved after the game concludes.

  • The game concludes when either:

    1. The word is successfully guessed (all letters revealed)

    2. The hangman figure is completed (6 incorrect guesses)

  • Capitalization is ignored - guessing 'a' or 'A' counts as the same letter.

  • If a letter appears multiple times in the word, guessing that letter once reveals all instances.

Considerations

  • The hidden word will be in English and contain only letters (no numbers, spaces, or special characters).

  • I obviously won't bet on this market.

The MD5 hash obtained when combining the word and an unknown string of characters that I will resolve at the end of this market is:

177bd3561b36f438a278699164ef9896

Linked markets:

https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-manifold-win-at-hangman-3?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg

https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/who-will-win-at-hangman-3-1000m-pri?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg

https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/manifold-plays-hangman-3-profitable?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg

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